BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Harold Advisory Number   7
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD   AL092023
1000 PM CDT Tue Aug 22 2023

...HAROLD CROSSES INTO NORTHERN MEXICO WITH HEAVY RAINS
CONTINUING...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.4N 100.2W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM WSW OF LAREDO TEXAS
ABOUT 480 MI...775 KM SE OF EL PASO TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

Flood Watch is in effect across portions of the Trans-Pecos and Big
Bend in western Texas.

Interests in Southwestern U.S. and northern Mexico should continue
to monitor the progress of this system.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Harold
was located near latitude 27.4 North, longitude 100.2 West. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 18 mph (30 km/h)
and this motion is expected to continue with slight increase in
forward speed into Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some weakening is forecast overnight and Harold is expected
to dissipate later in the day on Wednesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Harold can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header TCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KWNH
and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov.

RAINFALL: Harold is expected to produce additional rainfall amounts
of 1 to 2 inches with isolated storm total amounts to 6 inches
across South Texas through early Wednesday. Rainfall amounts of 1
to 3 inches with isolated higher amounts of 4 inches are
expected across Southwest and Far West Texas through Wednesday.
Isolated instances of flash flooding are possible.

In far northern Mexico, rainfall amounts of 4 to 6 inches, with
local amounts of 10 inches are expected through Wednesday.
Scattered instances of flash flooding are expected with landslides
possible.

WIND: Gusty winds are possible in portions of southern and western
Texas, as well as northern Mexico through Wednesday.

Winds could be particularly gusty in and near areas of elevated
terrain. Higher gusts could persist even after the system
dissipates.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.


Forecaster Gallina